09/03/2022. International Horse Racing Post: Cheltenham Festival preview – Camelot’s Pensee Du Jour Romps To Rose de Mai Triumph – Arqana, 2023 August Yearling Sale – ARK Pukekohe Park, The Grand Tour
Make the most of small fields and NRNB concessions with this each-way multiple
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In the days before the Cheltenham Festival, there are two main flavours of complaints: laments over unlucky ante-post wagers, and teeth-gnashing about the small fields that we are bound to see in at least a handful of the 28 races.
You are never going to get exactly the Cheltenham Festival you want, with all your horses running in the ‘right’ races and 15 horses in all the Grade 1s. You must play the Cheltenham we have, and you can do that by taking advantage of the betting landscape right now.
The small-fields issue is partially masked by most bookmakers offering non-runner, no bet. To take just one example: as I write, there are 14 horses in the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle at best odds of 20-1 or shorter among the traditional bookmakers. Yet on the Exchange market, which does not offer NRNB, there are only seven horses about which you would have to take less than 50-1. In short, a lot of the supposed market principals are not going to run.
In a few races, albeit the Ballymore would be a shade of odds against to be among them, you will only be offered two places as standard on your each-way bets on the day but three places are widely available now. Therefore by combining NRNB with advantageous each-way terms you can potentially secure some nice positions in races that look likely to cut up.
Here is a selection of horses to consider for an each-way multiple. You can combine them to suit your tastes. For example, full cover on the eight horses below would be a Goliath, 494 bets in all if you go each-way, but just doing the fivefolds and an accumulator (I know, but pennies each-way for a dream is cheap enough) brings the number down to 114. Think of it as a big-day Placepot perm, only across the week and with the odds in your favour. And as a bonus, even if any don’t run NRNB rules ensure your bets won’t be automatically settled as losers.
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There are likely to be fewer than eight runners in the Arkle, with the likes of Banbridge and Final Orders seemingly bound for other races. In that case, Saint Roi, who was third in last year’s Champion Hurdle, could easily sneak into the first three as he picks up the pieces of what is likely to be a furious gallop set by Dysart Dynamo and aided by Jonbon.
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Going by some bookmakers you might think that only four or five will run in the Champion Hurdle, although a few of the real outsiders could bump up the final number. Either way, it looks primed for an each-way angle and Irish Champion Hurdle winner State Man is merely the most obvious one to chase home Constitution Hill. Feel free to get creative with this one, though, if you like I Like To Move it or Vauban.
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There is not much money around for the outsiders left in the National Hunt Chase, so something like last year’s six-runner field is a possibility. Churchstonewarrior is an improver who promises to stay as far as you ask him to, and he has no other Cheltenham entries.
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This horse is plainly a stayer in the making and still looked to be learning when second in a Grade 1 at the Dublin Racing Festival. The die seems to be cast that Impaire Et Passe runs in this race, but it looks open behind him and Hermes Allen and place odds around 3-1 are more than sporting for Inthepocket to prove best of the rest.
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A field around the eight mark looks likely in the Brown Advisory and Galia Des Liteaux may just tip it over the edge if she runs. If she does, which is reportedly dependent on rain, she has form claims as strong as any behind Gerri Colombe once her mares’ allowance is factored in.
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There is a chance the Champion Chase field will hold up. Of the remaining 11, only Blue Lord looks certain to run elsewhere. Even so, Editeur Du Gite almost never runs a bad race at Cheltenham and would be a boost to your each-way team.
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The Turners is no stranger to small fields, only four ran last year, and this horse came of age when winning over course and distance on Trials Day. Of the likely runners, Stage Star has form claims at least the equal of all but Mighty Potter.
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There were only eight in the Mares’ Chase last year and Jeremys Flame, who could hardly have been more impressive in swatting away Zambella last time, is a safer conveyance than soft-ground specialist Impervious or talented but over-zealous Allegorie De Vassy. She’s a bigger price, too.
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fonte RacingPost
Camelot’s Pensee Du Jour Romps To Rose de Mai Triumph
Ballymore Thoroughbred Racing’s undefeated 3-year-old filly Pensee Du Jour (Ire) (Camelot {GB}–Painter’s Pride {Fr}, by Dansili {GB}) made a spectacular winning debut last month, attaining ‘TDN Rising Star‘ status with a four-length tally atop Chantilly’s… [To read this entire TDN News Story, click here.] – by TDN
2023 August Yearling Sale: last days to register!
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Nominations close on Friday 10 March.
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Dates for the diary…
Note: the previously scheduled raceday on Sunday 16 April won’t take place at Pukekohe Park.
fonte : Auckland Thoroughbred Racing Inc.